Author: Premendra Agrawal

  • The China factor: Modi 3.0-Trump 2.0

    Modi 3.0 and Trump 2.0 scenario would likely see both leaders leveraging their previous partnership to address the “China factor” even more strategically. Their past terms were defined by mutual concerns over China’s growing assertiveness, and a renewed tenure would amplify this alignment. This phase would emphasize economic decoupling, strategic alliances, and military preparedness in the Indo-Pacific region.

    Strategic Alignment against China: Shared Concerns for Modi and Trump both

    China’s assertive maneuvers in the South China Sea and the Himalayan region are pivotal issues that challenge global stability and test the diplomatic, economic, and military responses of world leaders, especially Narendra Modi and Donald Trump.

    Geopolitical Assertiveness: China’s aggressive moves in the South China Sea and the Himalayas would remain a common concern for Narendra Modi and Donald Trump

    Modi 3.0 would likely face renewed border tensions post-Galwan, while Trump 2.0 would confront China’s military expansion.

    Economic Dominance: Both nations have previously criticized China’s trade practices and industrial overreach. A second Trump term might accelerate decoupling efforts, with India as a preferred partner.

    Modi 3.0 would likely face renewed border tensions post-Galwan, while Trump 2.0 would confront China’s military expansion.

    Modi 3.0 and Trump 2.0 both leaders are likely to face intensified challenges from China’s strategic maneuvers. These challenges—manifesting as renewed border tensions in the Himalayas for India and expanded Chinese military power globally for the U.S.—will test their policies and the broader geopolitical order.

    Renewed Border Tensions for Modi 3.0

    Post-Galwan, the Sino-Indian border remains a volatile region. Despite multiple rounds of military and diplomatic talks, tensions along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) persist. China’s construction of dual-use infrastructure, troop deployments, and provocative actions like the recent Tawang and Demchok standoffs suggest that Beijing aims to keep India under constant pressure. Modi 3.0 is likely to confront:

    Frequent Skirmishes and Intrusions: With unresolved disputes over territories in Ladakh, Arunachal Pradesh, and Sikkim, India must prepare for repeated incursions and potential clashes.

    Strategic Encirclement: China’s growing influence in South Asia through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and closer ties with Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Nepal, will continue to pose strategic challenges.

    Economic and Cyber Pressures: Apart from military provocations, China may exploit its economic leverage or engage in cyber warfare to destabilize India.

    Modi’s Likely Approach:

    Strengthening border infrastructure and augmenting military capabilities, especially in high-altitude warfare.

    Deepening security ties with the Quad and other Indo-Pacific partners to counter China’s assertiveness.

    Increasing economic resilience by reducing dependency on Chinese imports and promoting initiatives like Aatmanirbhar Bharat (Self-Reliant India).

    Why Have China and India Suddenly Come Together?

    In June 2020, a significant border conflict occurred between India and China in the Ladakh region, resulting in casualties and marking the most serious incident since the 1962 war.  This led to a substantial deterioration in relations between the two nuclear-armed nations, reaching their lowest point in decades. However, after a period of strained relations lasting four years, a recent improvement in the bilateral relationship is evident.

    A border agreement was reached In October 2024, outlining the resumption of patrols in Ladakh and the disengagement of troops to pre-conflict positions. This agreement facilitated a meeting between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping on October 23rd, their first since the 2020 Ladakh clash, during a BRICS summit in Russia.  Both leaders committed to enhanced communication and cooperation.

    These developments offer an opportunity to improve bilateral ties.  India previously maintained that progress in the relationship was contingent upon de-escalation of border tensions; this condition now appears to have been met.  The improved atmosphere could also encourage greater collaboration in existing areas of cooperation.  Despite significant tensions, trade relations have remained strong, and the positive momentum generated by the border agreement could potentially lead to increased Chinese investment in India.  India and China collaborate in various international organizations, including BRICS and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.  They share common interests in areas such as counter-terrorism, multilateralism, and the promotion of non-Western economic models, while also expressing shared reservations regarding certain aspects of U.S. foreign policy.

    A sustained improvement in relations between these two major Asian powers would have significant global implications, including for the strategic partnership between the United States and India, which is partly driven by a shared objective of countering Chinese influence.  However, it could also act as a mitigating factor against potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy, particularly should a future U.S. administration choose to adopt a different approach towards China.

    Military Expansion: A Challenge for Trump 2.0

    For Donald Trump, a second term would likely involve tackling China’s growing military capabilities and its assertive policies in the Indo-Pacific and beyond. Under Xi Jinping, China has aggressively modernized its armed forces, expanded its nuclear arsenal, and sought to challenge U.S. dominance in key areas like space, cyber, and maritime power. Specific challenges for Trump 2.0 might include:

    South China Sea Militarization: China’s militarized artificial islands and naval power projection threaten the freedom of navigation and regional security.

    Taiwan Crisis: Escalating rhetoric and military drills around Taiwan indicate that Beijing may move closer to a forceful reunification attempt, drawing U.S. involvement.

    Global Influence: China is leveraging its military, economic, and technological advancements to challenge the U.S. globally, from Africa to Latin America.

    Trump’s Likely Response:

    Expanding Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOPs) and bolstering U.S. military presence in the Indo-Pacific.

    Strengthening military alliances like AUKUS and the Quad, while deepening ties with key allies like Japan and South Korea.

    Continuing economic decoupling and technological restrictions to counter China’s rise as a global competitor.

    Converging Challenges: Modi 3.0 and Trump 2.0

    For Modi and Trump, China’s actions represent not just regional challenges but a broader contest between democratic nations and authoritarian regimes. The convergence of their interests will likely result in enhanced cooperation, focusing on:

    2– Enhanced Military Cooperation

    Defense Collaboration and Agreements: Joint military exercises, technology transfers, and intelligence-sharing to address shared threats.

    Expansion of Foundational Pacts: Agreements like BECA and COMCASA would serve as a baseline for enhanced military integration.

    Example: Real-time intelligence sharing on Chinese troop movements could become routine.

    Arms Deals: India’s modernization efforts under Modi 3.0 would align with Trump’s focus on arms exports.

    Likely Purchases: Advanced drones, hypersonic technologies, and missile defense systems.

    Quad Plus Expansion:

    A Modi-Trump 2.0 partnership might push the Quad to include additional stakeholders such as South Korea or Vietnam, directly challenging China’s regional dominance.

    Example: Quad naval exercises could expand to include larger war games, targeting strategic waterways.

    Countering Chinese Military Aggression:

    India’s Northern Command could receive direct US logistical and technological support for securing the Himalayan border.

    Example: Deployment of US-made surveillance drones for real-time monitoring of the Line of Actual Control (LAC).

    Economic Strategies: Coordinating supply chain diversification and reducing dependencies on China through trade agreements.

    Diplomatic Efforts: Rallying global partners in multilateral forums like the G20, ASEAN, and the United Nations to counterbalance China’s influence.

    The likely realities of Modi 3.0 and Trump 2.0 would position both leaders at the forefront of managing China’s ambitions. For Modi, renewed border tensions will demand strategic resilience and regional leadership. For Trump, countering China’s military and geopolitical expansion will remain a central theme of U.S. foreign policy. Together, their responses will shape not just bilateral ties but also the broader balance of power in a rapidly evolving global order.

    South China Sea: A Strategic Flashpoint

    The South China Sea, a crucial maritime corridor for global trade, remains a theater of intense geopolitical competition. China’s expansive territorial claims, based on its “nine-dash line,” have led to disputes with several Southeast Asian nations, including the Philippines, Vietnam, and Malaysia. Beijing has fortified artificial islands with military installations, defying international rulings such as the 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration verdict, which invalidated its claims.

    For global powers like the United States, these actions challenge the principle of freedom of navigation and undermine international maritime laws. Under Donald Trump, the U.S. adopted a more confrontational stance, conducting Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOPs) and strengthening alliances like the Quad (comprising the U.S., India, Japan, and Australia) to counterbalance China’s growing influence in the Indo-Pacific.

    The Himalayan Border: India-China Tensions

    In the Himalayan region, China’s aggressive posturing has led to repeated border clashes with India, particularly along the Line of Actual Control (LAC). The 2020 Galwan Valley clash, where both nations suffered casualties, marked a sharp escalation in bilateral tensions. China’s strategy of building infrastructure and deploying military assets near the contested borders indicates its intent to change the status quo. For India, this is not only a security threat but also a broader challenge to its sovereignty and regional influence.

    Narendra Modi’s government has responded by reinforcing India’s military presence in the region, ramping up infrastructure development, and deepening strategic partnerships, notably with the U.S., Japan, and Australia. India’s membership in the Quad and its active participation in Indo-Pacific security frameworks align with its broader goal of countering Chinese aggression.

    A Shared Concern for Modi and Trump

    For leaders like Modi and Trump, these twin challenges underscore the importance of a coordinated response. Both leaders have shared a similar vision of confronting China’s rise through assertive policies. Under Trump, the U.S. escalated trade wars with China, imposed sanctions on Chinese firms, and promoted military alliances in Asia. Modi, on the other hand, has sought to bolster India’s defense capabilities, diversify trade partnerships, and project India as a key player in global geopolitics.

    Their shared tenure could see increased collaboration in areas such as:

    Defense and Military Cooperation: Strengthening joint exercises and intelligence-sharing, particularly under frameworks like BECA and LEMOA, to counter Chinese military movements.

    Economic Containment: Leveraging trade alliances to reduce dependence on China and encouraging supply chain diversification.

    Diplomatic Outreach: Expanding partnerships with ASEAN, the EU, and other global actors to isolate China diplomatically.

    Global Implications

    China’s maneuvers are not isolated threats but part of its broader strategy to challenge the existing global order. For the international community, unchecked aggression in the South China Sea and the Himalayas risks setting dangerous precedents for resolving disputes by force. Leaders like Modi and Trump represent a segment of global leadership willing to counter this with robust measures.

    Their responses will not only shape their respective nations’ security and economic trajectories but also signal the resolve of democratic nations to uphold the principles of sovereignty, international law, and a free and open world order.

  • Modi and Trump’s Political Parallelism

    “Narendra Modi is the ultimate outsider in Delhi’s political circles, just as Trump positioned himself against the entrenched political class in Washington.” 

    The political journeys of India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi and former US President Donald Trump reveal remarkable similarities in their speeches, leadership styles and governance strategies, particularly in their approach to governance, nationalism and their relationship with their respective electorates. While their contexts differ, their populist appeals, approach to nationalism and ways of engaging with supporters underline significant similarities.

    The political trajectories of Narendra Modi and Donald Trump are often compared because of their remarkable similarities in leadership style, policy focus and public appeal. Here is a detailed look at their political similarities

    1–Rise through Populism** 

    – Both leaders emerged as populist disruptors challenging the established political elite. Modi’s rise in Indian politics was characterised by him being a self-made leader who triumphed over adversity, while Trump portrayed himself as an anti-establishment billionaire fighting the Washington swamp.

    Modi and Trump rose to power by positioning themselves as champions of the common people against the established political elite. Modi, who began his career as a tea seller, often emphasises his humble origins, saying he understands the aspirations of the lower and middle classes. Similarly, Trump has portrayed himself as a billionaire outsider fighting against the political establishment in Washington, DC, vowing to “drain the swamp” after his election.

    Both leaders have a populist appeal, connecting with the common man through their rhetoric and policies. Modi’s initiatives such as the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan and Jan Dhan Yojana are aimed at uplifting the lower and middle class, while Trump’s tax cuts and deregulation efforts were designed to benefit American workers and businesses.

    – Modi leveraged his story of being a “chaiwala” who rose through the ranks through sheer determination, while Trump branded himself as a successful businessman who could “make America great again.

    Both leaders have successfully harnessed a populist narrative, emphasizing national pride, economic self-sufficiency, and a focus on traditional values. This has resonated deeply with their respective bases, leading to robust and loyal support.

    2–Economic Populaism and Nationalism**

    Economic Cooperation and Trade Talks: Mutual Benefits in Trade: Trump’s “America First” policy led to negotiations on trade deals that sought to balance trade deficits with major partners, including India. Modi, too, pushed for favorable terms in trade agreements to boost India’s economic standing.

    Example: In 2020, the U.S. and India engaged in negotiations to reach a “mini” trade deal that aimed to address tariff issues and market access. Although a comprehensive agreement wasn’t finalized, the negotiations underscored the importance both leaders placed on improving economic ties between the two countries.

    Economically, both leaders advocate for policies that favor business and economic nationalism. Modi has implemented reforms aimed at boosting Indian entrepreneurship, such as lowering corporate tax rates, which he describes as essential for wealth creation. Trump similarly campaigned on promises to cut taxes and reduce government size to stimulate economic growth. Their shared focus on economic development is evident in their approaches: while Modi promotes initiatives like “Make in India,” Trump emphasizes job creation through deregulation and tax cuts.

    Modi and Trump have focused on economic nationalism. Modi’s policies aim to boost domestic manufacturing and reduce dependency on imports, while Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods were intended to protect American industries. Both leaders have faced criticism for their protectionist measures.

    Economic Policies Favoring Domestic Production:

    Trump: He championed tariffs on Chinese goods and pushed for renegotiated trade deals like USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) to prioritize American industries.

    Modi: Modi’s government promoted the “Atmanirbhar Bharat” (Self-Reliant India) campaign, aiming to boost domestic manufacturing and reduce dependency on foreign imports.

    Example: Modi’s policy shifts towards economic nationalism saw a rise in Indian manufacturing sectors, similar to Trump’s attempts to revive American industries by cutting taxes and deregulating businesses.

    In the last ten years, New Delhi has gained an important position in global politics especially in economic terms as India is the fifth largest economy. Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India has also proved its leadership skills at the global level. The world is currently witnessing two wars; Israel-Hamas and Russia-Ukraine. Due to this, western countries, especially the US, have imposed economic sanctions on some countries which are not only affecting the US economy but the whole world. On the other hand, there is a trade war going on between the US and China. Therefore; to maintain the growth of the US, the Donald Trump administration would like to continue its upward trajectory with India in trade and other areas of cooperation.

    Trump described Modi as his good friend in various election rallies. He also emphasized that he would protect Hindu human rights not only in the US but all over the world. Trump always advocated America and American first principles and its approach and if he is going to follow it as a policy then it may negatively affect India-US trade. The recent election campaign of Trump and his philosophy ‘MAGA’ (Make America Great Again) and Modi’s vision related to ‘Make in India’ and ‘Developed India’ may bring both opportunities and challenges for the trade relations between India and the US. But the respective cooperation and collaboration in this regard will be beneficial for both the countries. Overall, the way New Delhi has improved its global position in the recent past, it seems, India is going to become an indispensable economy for the world and especially for the US. There is also a huge possibility that if these two leaders are going to work together with each other then they can redefine the global disarray.

    2–Strongman Image**

    Charismatic and Authoritative Leadership: Both Trump and Modi have cultivated an image of strong, decisive leadership. They often present themselves as figures who challenge the political establishment, willing to make tough decisions for the nation’s benefit.

    Example: Modi’s 2016 demonetization policy, which withdrew 86% of India’s cash from circulation overnight, was seen as a bold anti-corruption measure. Similarly, Trump’s approach to foreign policy, including the 2018 summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, demonstrated his willingness to take risks for perceived gains.

    Modi and Trump project a strongman image, often taking decisive actions that resonate with their supporters. Modi’s decision to revoke Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir and Trump’s tough stance on immigration are examples of their assertive leadership styles.

    3–Hardline Stance on Security** 

    – Security has been a cornerstone of both leaders’ platforms. 

      – Modi’s Balakot airstrikes against Pakistan following the Pulwama attack reflected his hardline stance on terrorism. Trump’s decisive actions, like the killing of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, were similar displays of military strength. 

      – Both leaders frequently highlighted their commitment to national security during campaigns, framing their opponents as weak on defense. 

    Strategic Military and Security Cooperation:

    Joint Efforts Against Terrorism: Both Trump and Modi have made national security a central theme. Trump’s administration increased defense spending and cracked down on immigration, emphasizing the need to combat terrorism and strengthen borders. Modi, similarly, adopted a firm stance against Pakistan-based terrorism, with significant events like the 2016 surgical strikes and the 2019 Balakot airstrike after the Pulwama attack.

    Example: The U.S. and India conducted joint military exercises such as the “Malabar” naval exercises, showcasing a growing strategic alliance in the Indo-Pacific. This collaboration reflected their commitment to security, particularly in countering China’s influence in the region. Trump and Modi’s administrations worked closely to enhance defense cooperation, leading to significant arms deals like India’s purchase of U.S. Apache and Chinook helicopters.

    4–Nationalism is a core principle**

    “Both leaders have capitalized on a growing sense of reclaiming national pride in an increasingly globalized world.”

    Both Modi and Trump espouse nationalistic ideologies, shaping their policies and public narratives around their respective countries’ interests.

    Modi’s “Make in India” campaign ran parallel to Trump’s “America First” mantra. Both leaders emphasized local manufacturing, self-reliance, and reduced dependence on foreign powers.

    Modi’s stance of protecting India’s sovereignty on global platforms resonates with Trump’s policies, including withdrawing from international agreements such as the Paris Climate Accord.

    Nationalism is a cornerstone of both leaders’ political ideologies. Trump’s “America First” policy resonates with voters who feel left behind by globalization, while Modi’s emphasis on “Indianness” seeks to restore the Hindu way of life in India. Both leaders have been accused of polarizing their nations along religious or ethnic lines – Trump through his anti-immigrant rhetoric and Modi through his discriminatory policies toward Muslims. As one commentary puts it, “Both have displayed remarkable courage and tenacity in their political journeys… while remaining true to their ideological frameworks”.

    5– Use of Social Media and Direct Communication **

    Trump: Known for his prolific use of Twitter, Trump leveraged social media as a tool to bypass traditional media, speaking directly to his supporters. This allowed him to control the narrative, especially during times of controversy.

    Modi: Similarly, Modi has been a master of social media, frequently engaging with his followers on platforms like Twitter and Facebook. His direct engagement with the public helped him maintain a personal connection with the electorate, often announcing policies and updates online before using traditional media channels.

    Example: Both Trump and Modi held massive rallies, making use of their charismatic public speaking skills. Modi’s use of technology during his speeches—like holograms to reach multiple locations simultaneously in the 2014 campaign—echoed Trump’s massive, media-focused rallies that dominated news cycles.

    “In an era of 24/7 news cycles, controlling the narrative is as important as policymaking for leaders like Trump and Modi.”

    Both leaders have had contentious relationships with the media. Trump often criticised the mainstream media as “fake news”, while Modi has been accused of restricting press freedom in India. Despite this, both have effectively used social media to communicate directly with their supporters.

    Both Modi and Trump extensively use social media platforms to communicate directly with their supporters to strengthen their public image, while often bypassing traditional media channels. Modi’s “Mann Ki Baat” radio broadcasts and Trump’s combative tweets are examples of how each leader shapes public discourse according to their own narratives. His reliance on social media has also led to allegations of fostering a culture of self-censorship among journalists critical of his administration

    – Trump often calls the press “fake news”, while Modi avoids traditional press conferences, preferring curated interviews and direct social media engagement.

    – His media strategies have helped him maintain control over his narratives and minimize negative coverage.

    6–Populist Rhetoric and Simplistic Messaging** 

    – Modi and Trump’s speeches often appealed directly to the common man, focusing on aspirations and fears. 

      – Modi’s use of Hindi and local dialects during campaigns helped him connect with rural voters, while Trump’s simple, conversational language resonated with blue-collar Americans. 

      – Both used slogans effectively: Modi’s “Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas” (Together with all, development for all) and Trump’s “Promises Made, Promises Kept” showcased their focus on inclusivity and delivering results. 

    7—Outreach to Diaspora and Stronger U.S.-India Ties**

    Modi’s Indian Diaspora Engagement: Modi has actively cultivated relationships with the Indian diaspora, recognizing its political and economic influence in Western countries, particularly the U.S. The Indian-American community is one of the most affluent and politically active groups in the United States, which Modi has acknowledged through numerous outreach events.

    Trump’s Support for U.S.-India Relations: Trump’s administration took notable steps to strengthen U.S.-India ties. This included the signing of key defense agreements and support for India’s regional security initiatives.

    Example: Modi’s rally in Madison Square Garden in 2014 and the “Howdy, Modi!” event in 2019, where Trump was a guest of honor, were historic. These events highlighted how Modi leveraged the Indian-American diaspora’s influence, while Trump used these moments to strengthen his own outreach to Indian-American voters, a strategy that paid dividends in key battleground states.

    – The cult-like following both leaders enjoy is a testament to their ability to inspire loyalty. 

      – Modi is often referred to as a “messiah” by his supporters, while Trump’s base remains fiercely loyal despite controversies. 

      – Public rallies serve as a cornerstone for their connection with the masses, with Modi’s “Howdy Modi” event in Houston and Trump’s massive campaign rallies standing as prime examples. 

    8–Charismatic Leadership and Personal Branding** 

    – Modi and Trump have relied heavily on their personal charisma and branding. Their political campaigns prominently featured their faces, slogans, and larger-than-life personas. 

      – Modi’s “Abki Baar Modi Sarkar” (This time, it’s Modi’s government) became a rallying cry in India, much like Trump’s “Make America Great Again.” 

      – Social media played a significant role for both, with Modi becoming one of the most followed politicians globally, and Trump mastering Twitter as a platform for direct communication. 

    – *Quote*: “In the age of social media, Modi and Trump have redefined political communication with their unfiltered, direct approach to supporters.” 

    9– Trump and Modi: the winning factor**

    Trump faced numerous controversies like Russia Gate, 2020 election claims, treatment of illegal immigrants, allegations of sexual misconduct, and alleged tax evasion. His reformist approach and tense relationship with NATO allies; legal challenges, impeachment, and criticisms for imposing tariffs on China and renegotiating trade deals, such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) into the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). Despite these adversities, he has shown an ability to bounce back, securing the Republican nomination again, positioning himself as a dominant force, and winning in American politics by becoming the 47th President of the USA for the second time. Numerous assassinations attempt on Trump and his ability to “fight” the establishment and present an alternative to mainstream politics have augmented his political repute.

    Modi’s relatively humble background to becoming the Chief Minister of Gujarat, and then the Prime Minister of India, is marked by overcoming numerous challenges, including early political setbacks and unfounded criticism like the Gujrat’s communal riots after the Godhra incident. His tenure as the Prime Minister has seen bold moves like revenge for the Pulwama attack, demonetisation, and the bold decision to abrogate Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir, Citizenship Amendment Act, Construction of Ram Temple in Ayodhya, Criminalising Triple-Talaq, etc. decisions that have defined his leadership. Despite facing criticism and opposition, Modi’s persistence in pushing through his vision for India’s development, assertiveness, respect, and leadership on global platforms, combined with a strong economic policy and connection with voters, has helped him maintain his position at the forefront of national and world politics..

    Modi and Trump have both challenged and overcame the stronghold of dynasty politics. Modi has specifically focused on dismantling the influence of the Gandhi family in India. Similarly, Trump has faced and defeated powerful political dynasties in the US including Bush, Clinton, Cheney, Obama and Biden families, along with the political establishment supporting figures like Kamala Harris.

    Both leaders continue to pursue their goals in the face of adversity and leverage their political narratives to maintain relevance. Their courage to take bold, sometimes controversial actions, while staying true to their ideological frameworks, has solidified their places in history.

    Despite popular belief, that Trump and Modi are unpredictable, both leaders have clear, consistent agendas of pro-peace “national interest first”, development, and non-interference in the internal affairs of other nations, making their policies and dealings relatively predictable. Hence it will be potentially easy to facilitate negotiation or compromise, as their goals and directions are often outlined in advance, making them more transparent compared to leaders with shifting foreign policies, interference in the internal affairs of other nations, and pro-war stances when it comes to defence and geopolitics.

    However, relations between Trump 2.0 and Modi 3.0 might face nuanced adjustments due to shifting global scenarios as both leaders share a nationalist outlook, yet differing strategic priorities. Therefore, the relations between the two leaders are likely to need re-evaluation as few of the scholars are predicting that due to their nationalist credentials it will be difficult for India and US to have a balance in their relationship especially in terms of bilateral trade, H-1B Visa, security and defence cooperation, issues concerning international politics, etc.

    In 2024, the United States and India, two of the world’s largest democracies, held general elections.  Both elections presented voters with the choice of re-electing incumbent leaders amidst complex national, regional, and global challenges.  The re-election of Donald Trump and Narendra Modi is anticipated to have significant global consequences, given their countries’ substantial influence on international trade, finance, security, social dynamics, and global power structures.

    Despite their contrasting backgrounds—Trump’s history as a billionaire businessman and Modi’s humble entrepreneurial beginnings—both leaders successfully connected with their respective populations by addressing their economic interests, security concerns, and aspirations.  Both leveraged their outsider status, effectively tapping into widespread feelings of frustration and aspiration among middle and lower classes.  Their citizen-centric policies, exemplified by the implementation of multiple economic stimulus packages during the COVID-19 pandemic,  focused on providing relief to their citizens.  Both also adopted strong stances on border security and national security, promoting domestic manufacturing through import tariffs, and emphasizing real economic growth.

    In terms of foreign policy, both Trump and Modi emphasized the importance of peace for development, prioritizing stability, economic growth, and cooperative partnerships.  Under Trump’s administration, the US did not initiate any new wars. His 2019 visit to North Korea represented a significant diplomatic overture, and the Abraham Accords prioritized diplomatic and economic interests over potential conflict.  Modi’s foreign policy, grounded in the philosophy of “Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam” (the world is one family), incorporates initiatives such as “Neighbourhood First,” “Act East,” and various strategic partnerships focused on economic diplomacy, multilateral cooperation, counterterrorism, and digital diplomacy.

    Domestically, Trump’s anti-establishment rhetoric resonated with voters concerned about issues such as illegal immigration, healthcare costs, and the rising cost of living. His promises to bring back jobs to the US, his opposition to certain social issues, his emphasis on economic nationalism, and his stance on withdrawing from US-funded wars appealed to a significant segment of the population.  Similarly, Modi’s narrative centered on his rise from a modest background, highlighting his understanding of the aspirations of the lower and middle classes, particularly in rural areas. His focus on economic development, inclusive growth (“sabka sath, sabka vikas, sabka vishwas, sabka prayas”), citizen empowerment (through initiatives like Swachh Bharat, Make in India, and Ayushman Bharat), and nationalism contributed to his widespread appeal.

    Both leaders demonstrated remarkable resilience and perseverance throughout their careers, overcoming numerous challenges and persistent opposition.  Both Trump and Modi faced similar criticisms from opposition groups and mainstream media, being labeled as authoritarian, divisive, nationalist (Modi as a Hindu nationalist, Trump as “America First”), polarizing, and challenging established norms.  Both were frequently criticized by national and international media for their perceived anti-liberal and anti-socialist policies.  Financial and corporate elites, including organizations such as George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, Google, and Facebook, often expressed opposition to both leaders’ nationalistic stances.  Both also faced criticism from left-leaning academic circles.

    Trump faced numerous controversies, including allegations of Russian interference, challenges to the 2020 election results, criticisms regarding his treatment of immigrants, and allegations of sexual misconduct and tax evasion. His policy changes, strained relationships with NATO allies, legal challenges, impeachment proceedings, and tariffs imposed on China and trade renegotiations also drew significant criticism. Despite these challenges, he secured the Republican nomination and won a second presidential term.  Alleged assassination attempts further contributed to his image as a figure who actively challenges established power structures.

    Modi’s career trajectory, from a relatively humble background to Chief Minister of Gujarat and then Prime Minister of India, was similarly marked by challenges, including early political setbacks and criticism related to the Gujarat communal riots.  His tenure as Prime Minister included significant policy decisions such as retaliatory actions following the Pulwama attack, demonetization, the revocation of Article 370 in Jammu and Kashmir, the Citizenship Amendment Act, the construction of the Ram Temple in Ayodhya, and the criminalization of triple talaq.  Despite opposition, Modi’s persistent pursuit of his vision for India’s development and his assertive presence on the global stage, coupled with strong economic policies, contributed to his continued political success.

    Both leaders challenged the dominance of political dynasties. Modi actively sought to diminish the influence of the Gandhi family in Indian politics, while Trump successfully countered powerful political families such as the Bushes, Clintons, Cheneys, Obamas, and Bidens, and their supporting establishment.

    Both Trump and Modi continue to pursue their agendas despite ongoing opposition, effectively utilizing their political narratives to maintain influence. Their willingness to take bold, sometimes controversial actions, while adhering to their core ideologies, has solidified their historical legacies.

    Contrary to popular perception, both leaders’ policies are characterized by consistent pro-peace, “national interest first” agendas that prioritize development and non-interference in the internal affairs of other nations, making their actions relatively predictable. This potentially facilitates negotiation and compromise.  However, the relationship between Trump and Modi may undergo adjustments due to shifting global dynamics and potentially differing strategic priorities, despite their shared nationalist outlook.  Some analysts predict potential challenges in balancing India-US relations regarding trade, H-1B visas, security cooperation, and international political issues.

    In recent years, India’s global standing has significantly increased, particularly economically, becoming the fifth-largest economy.  Under Modi’s leadership, India has demonstrated its global leadership capacity.  Given the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Israel-Gaza, and the US-China trade war, the US may seek to strengthen its relationship with India to support economic growth and cooperation.  Trump’s stated friendship with Modi, along with his emphasis on protecting Hindu rights, might influence the direction of US-India relations. The alignment of Trump’s “Make America Great Again” agenda with Modi’s “Make in India” and “Viksit Bharat” visions presents both opportunities and challenges for bilateral trade, though cooperation is potentially beneficial for both nations.  India’s improved global standing suggests its growing importance in the global economy, and future collaboration between Trump and Modi could potentially reshape the global landscape.

    9–Polarization and Controversies** 

    – Both leaders have been polarizing figures in their nations, with ardent supporters and vocal critics. 

      – Modi faced criticism over his handling of communal tensions, particularly the Gujarat riots during his tenure as Chief Minister. Trump was similarly criticized for his response to racial tensions and his handling of events like the Charlottesville rally. 

      – Their policies, like Trump’s immigration ban and Modi’s Citizenship Amendment Act, sparked massive protests but also solidified their bases. 

    – *Quote*: “Leaders like Modi and Trump thrive on polarization, as it energizes their core supporters while drowning out dissenting voices.” 

    10–Electoral Strengths and Weaknesses** 

    – Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has consistently leveraged grassroots organization, much like Trump’s reliance on the Republican Party’s state-level machinery. 

      – Modi’s dominance has delivered multiple electoral victories, while Trump’s surprise 2016 victory showcased his ability to tap into voter discontent. 

      – However, both leaders face challenges in expanding their appeal beyond their core bases. 

    11–Foreign Policy**

    Their foreign policies reflect a blend of pragmatism and assertiveness. Modi’s “Neighborhood First” policy and Trump’s “America First” approach prioritize national interests while engaging in strategic partnerships. Both leaders have sought to strengthen ties with key allies while taking a tough stance on adversaries.

    The victory of Donald Trump and Narendra Modi is likely to have global ramifications, given their countries’ influence on international trade and finance, international security, social crusades and global power dynamics.

    Modi and Trump have also successfully tapped into the deep sense of frustration and aspiration within the middle and lower classes. Their people-centric policies have made them champions of the common people, for example, during COVID-19 both signed multiple rounds of economic stimulus packages to provide relief for their citizens, their strong stance on border security and national security related to illegal immigration and terrorism, promoting local manufacturing by imposing import duties and building the real economy.

    12–Challenges in Governance** 

    – Despite their successes, both leaders faced criticism over their governance. 

      – Modi has been criticized for the handling of issues like unemployment and the farmer protests, while Trump faced backlash for his administration’s COVID-19 response and impeachment trials. 

      – Both leaders’ critics argue that their focus on optics often outweighs substantive governance. 

    – *Quote*: “Even the most charismatic leaders cannot escape the scrutiny of governance when policies impact lives on the ground.” 

    13–Controversies and Criticisms**

    Modi and Trump have faced significant controversies and criticisms. Modi’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and Trump’s response to racial tensions in the U.S. have been points of contention. Both leaders have also been accused of undermining democratic institutions and norms.

    14–Legacy and Future Trajectory** 

    – Both Modi and Trump have left an indelible mark on their nations’ politics, reshaping party ideologies and voter expectations. 

      – Modi continues to lead India with a strong majority, while Trump seeks a potential comeback in 2024, reflecting their enduring influence. 

    – *Quote*: “The legacies of Modi and Trump will be defined not just by their policies but by how they redefined leadership in the 21st century.” 

    15–Conclusion: A Friendship of Consequence**

    The camaraderie between Modi and Trump has set a precedent for India-U.S. relations, characterized by mutual economic interests and shared strategic goals. Their friendship was notably showcased during events like “Howdy Modi!” and “Namaste Trump,” which highlighted their personal rapport alongside political alignment. As they navigate complex global challenges together, the parallels in their leadership styles suggest that both leaders will continue to influence each other’s domestic policies while reinforcing nationalist sentiments within their countries.

    As one observer aptly puts it, “Their courage to take bold, sometimes controversial actions… has solidified their places in history”. The ongoing relationship between Modi and Trump will likely shape not only their nations but also the broader geopolitical landscape in the years ahead.

    Narendra Modi and Donald Trump’s political journeys underline the growing prominence of populist leaders in modern democracies. Their appeal lies in their ability to connect with voters at an emotional level, promise transformative change, and disrupt traditional politics. While their tenures have sparked intense debates, their impact on global politics is undeniable. As their trajectories continue to evolve, their parallels remain a topic of global intrigue. 

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    Both exhibit remarkable courage and persistence in their political journeys and their ability to resurrect their careers or maintain significant influence. There is a striking similarity in the attack on Trump and Modi by the opposition of their respective countries and the mainstream media. The opposition has labelled them as dictators, a threat to the Constitution, divisive, nationalist (Modi as a Hindu nationalist and Trump as “America First”), polarising, fascist, and challenging the established norms. National and international mainstream media has been a bit harsh on both due to their anti-liberal, anti-socialist, and people-centric approach. The financial and corporate elites, including organisations like George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, Google, and Facebook, have often been at odds with both Trump and Modi due to their nationalistic stances. They both are unpopular with the left-dominated academia and their win leading to the left-wing liberal meltdown due to later’s intellectually misplaced arrogance.

  • Trump and Modi Come Back: A New Era or End of a Chapter?

    Reflecting on their relationship, PM Modi expressed his anticipation for future collaboration:

    “As you build on the successes of your previous term, I look forward to renewing our collaboration to further strengthen the India-US Comprehensive Global and Strategic Partnership”

    *Michael Kugelman, South Asia Director at the Wilson Center: “Trump’s victory means that the Indian policies that have put New Delhi at odds with the West will no longer be a cause of concern for Washington”

    **Uday Chandra, South Asia and Foreign Policy Expert: “He is a refreshing reset from the Indian perspective… he is much more transactional”

    //////////////

    “Hearty congratulations to my friend @realDonaldTrump on your historic electoral victory” Prime Minister Narendra Modi

    Reflecting on their relationship, Prime Minister Modi expressed his hope for future cooperation: “As you build on the successes of your past tenure, I look forward to renewing our cooperation to further strengthen the India-US comprehensive global and strategic partnership”

    Trump-Modi Relationship: A Historical Context:

    The friendship between Donald Trump and Narendra Modi has been characterized by mutual understanding and shared goals since their earliest meetings. Their rapport was publicly demonstrated during events such as “Howdy Modi” in Houston and “Namaste Trump” in Ahmedabad, symbolizing the deepening of ties between the world’s largest democracies. Trump’s first term saw significant cooperation on various fronts, including defense, trade, and counterterrorism, setting a precedent for future cooperation.

    Donald Trump’s return to the White House and Narendra Modi’s continued leadership in India is a pivotal moment in global politics. Their relationship, characterised by mutual admiration and strategic alignment, has the potential to reshape international relations. Here is a detailed look at what this return means for the two leaders and their countries.

    The return of Donald Trump and Narendra Modi to influential positions has triggered a wave of global analysis. Many see it as the beginning of a new era marked by the resurgence of populist politics, while some argue that it may signal the beginning of the end for their brand of leadership. Both leaders, known for their strong, nationalistic rhetoric, are facing familiar and new challenges. This chapter explores what their return means for domestic politics, international relations and the broader global order.

    Confusion

    Donald Trump’s recent return to the presidency has given rise to significant discussion about its implications for global politics, particularly with regard to India and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. As the two leaders prepare to begin a new chapter in their countries’ bilateral relations, the question arises: is this a new era or simply the end of a chapter?

    1. **Personal rapport and political chemistry**

    The personal rapport between Trump and Modi has been the cornerstone of their relationship. Their friendship was evident during events such as “Howdy Modi!” in Houston and “Namaste Trump” in Ahmedabad. Trump once called Modi a “fantastic person” and a “true friend”. This personal chemistry is expected to play a key role in his second term, leading to closer ties between the US and India.

    2. ** Strategic alignment**

    The two leaders share a vision of economic nationalism and strategic autonomy. Trump’s “America First” policy meshes well with Modi’s “Make in India” initiative. This alignment is likely to strengthen economic and defence cooperation. The Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement (BECA) signed during his previous tenure is testimony to his commitment to enhance military cooperation.

    3. **Domestic Politics: Return to familiar territory**

    Both Trump and Modi are charismatic individuals who have relied heavily on populist strategies to attract their domestic audiences. His return shows that his core messages continue to resonate with large segments of his population.

    **Trump’s Return**

    Trump’s victory represents a reaffirmation of his “America First” agenda. In his previous term, he focused on deregulation, tax cuts, and an outspoken stance on immigration, which garnered a devoted base. Those same supporters see his return as an opportunity to continue unfinished work, particularly on issues of border security, economic nationalism, and cultural conservatism. However, critics argue that his divisive rhetoric and controversial policies are a step backward for American unity.

    *”The forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no more,”* Trump famously said during his first victory speech, a line that defined his second rise to power.

    **Modi’s Leadership in India**

    Modi’s return to India is also a sign of the enduring power of his leadership style. His tenure has been marked by a strong Hindu nationalist narrative, significant economic reforms, and an emphasis on India’s global stature. Modi’s policies, such as demonetisation and the goods and services tax (GST), have faced both praise and criticism. Still, his ability to connect with the grassroots through programmes such as “Swachh Bharat” (Clean India) and his focus on digitalisation have ensured a loyal support base.

    *”Modi’s politics is about emotions, and he knows how to speak to the common Indian,”* says Pratap Bhanu Mehta, a noted Indian political scientist

    4. **Economic Policies: Continuity or Change**

    Economic Cooperation and Trade Challenges: While the economic partnership between the US and India is likely to grow, challenges remain. Trump’s protectionist stance and his emphasis on fair trade could create tensions. During his first term, Trump dubbed India a “tariff king” and imposed tariffs on many Indian goods. Modi’s government will have to deal with these challenges to maintain strong economic ties.

    For both Trump and Modi, economic strategies are key to their political brands. Their economic philosophies focus on self-reliance and prioritizing national industries, but there are significant differences in execution.

    **Trump’s Economic Approach**

    Trump is expected to pursue policies aimed at reducing reliance on global supply chains, promoting domestic manufacturing, and revisiting trade deals such as the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement). His stance on tariffs, especially with China, is likely to remain tough, seeing it as a means to protect American jobs and intellectual property.

    *”Tariffs are the best!”* Trump once tweeted, summarizing his strategy to pressure foreign competitors and encourage local businesses.

    Economic Policies: Continuity or Change : Economic Cooperation and Trade Challenges: While the economic partnership between the U.S. and India is poised to grow, challenges remain. Trump’s protectionist stance and his emphasis on fair trade could lead to tensions. During his first term, Trump labeled India the “tariff king” and imposed tariffs on several Indian goods. Modi’s government will need to navigate these challenges to maintain a robust economic relationship.

    For both Trump and Modi, economic strategies are crucial to their political brands. Their economic philosophies focus on self-reliance and prioritizing national industries, but with significant differences in execution.

    **Trump’s Economic Vision** 

    Expect Trump to push forward with policies aimed at reducing dependence on global supply chains, bolstering domestic manufacturing, and revisiting trade deals like the USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement). His stance on tariffs, particularly regarding China, is likely to remain tough, viewing it as a means to protect American jobs and intellectual property.

    *”Tariffs are the greatest!”* Trump once tweeted, encapsulating his strategy to pressure foreign competitors and incentivize local businesses.

    **Modi’s ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ (Self-Reliant India)** 

    Modi’s comeback will likely involve reinforcing his “Atmanirbhar Bharat” initiative, aimed at reducing India’s dependence on foreign goods and boosting indigenous industries. Modi’s vision aligns with bolstering sectors like defense manufacturing, agriculture, and technology, emphasizing a push for India to become a global production hub. However, challenges like unemployment, agrarian distress, and social disparities may complicate this vision.

    Economic Cooperation and Trade Challenges: While the economic partnership between the US and India is likely to grow, challenges remain. Trump’s protectionist stance and his emphasis on fair trade could cause tensions. During his first term, Trump dubbed India the “tariff king” and imposed tariffs on many Indian goods.

    Modi’s government will have to address these challenges to maintain strong economic ties.

    Economic Policies and Strategic Interests: Both leaders advocate business innovation and economic growth, which could lead to transformational change on the global economic stage. Trump’s “America First” policy is in line with Modi’s aspirations to make India the third-largest economy globally. As a recent analysis noted, “Under his leadership, India and the US could potentially make significant inroads on the global economic stage”

    This alignment suggests that their new partnership could enhance economic ties as well as address shared challenges, such as balancing China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific region.

    Challenges ahead

    However, Trump’s return also brings challenges that need to be handled carefully. His protectionist trade policies could clash with India’s economic interests, requiring Modi to balance diplomatic engagement with national priorities. Analysts have pointed out that India must “balance economic optimism with caution” as it pursues its ties with the unpredictable partner.

    5.**Foreign Policy: Nationalism on the Global Stage**

    Both leaders have shown a keen interest in reshaping foreign policy to reflect nationalist priorities, impacting alliances, trade, and global diplomacy.

    **Trump’s America First: The Sequel** 

    Trump’s foreign policy is expected to focus on reinforcing American sovereignty, a theme that dominated his previous administration. His approach to alliances, often transactional, could see NATO allies urged to increase defense spending and trade relationships revisited with a critical eye. Trump’s stance on China will likely remain combative, emphasizing economic decoupling and competition in technology and military power.

    *”The world is laughing at us,”* Trump has said about previous administrations’ foreign policies, reflecting his determination to project strength and renegotiate from a position of power.

    **Modi’s Global Ambitions** 

    For Modi, foreign policy centers around enhancing India’s image as a global leader while balancing ties with major powers like the U.S., Russia, and China. Modi’s emphasis on strategic autonomy, evident in India’s neutral stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, will likely continue. His diplomatic approach, often termed “Modi Doctrine,” seeks to project India as a mediator and a responsible global player, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region.

    *”India’s time has come,”* Modi declared at a recent BRICS summit, underscoring his vision of India’s rising influence.

    6. **Social and Cultural Landscape: Divisive Narratives?**

    The returns of Trump and Modi are also a commentary on the cultural and social divides that have deepened in their respective countries.

    Cultural and Community Ties

    Culturally, the Indian diaspora in the United States has played an essential role in shaping perceptions and policies toward India. The strong support from this community during Trump’s campaign indicates that he may prioritize issues relevant to Indian Americans, including concerns over rising Hinduphobia and Khalistani activism in North America. The Modi-Trump camaraderie could provide a platform for addressing these issues effectively.

    *Trump’s Cultural Battles**

    Trump’s rhetoric often polarizes the American electorate along ideological lines, emphasizing conservative values, religious freedom, and traditional social norms. His return has renewed debates on topics like critical race theory, immigration, and identity politics, which resonate strongly with his base but alienate liberal and moderate voters.

    **Modi’s Hindutva Agenda** 

    Modi’s leadership has seen a rise in Hindu nationalism, with policies that critics argue marginalize minorities, especially Muslims. The revocation of Article 370 in Kashmir and the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) have been viewed as attempts to reshape India’s secular fabric. Supporters, however, praise Modi for taking bold steps that they believe uphold India’s cultural heritage.

    *”Our cultural values are our strength,”* Modi often states, aligning his policies with India’s ancient traditions.

    7. **Challenges and Criticisms: Learning from the Past**

    The return of both leaders is not without significant challenges. Each faces skepticism and a more informed and critical opposition.

    **Trump’s Legal Troubles and Public Perception** 

    Trump’s return is clouded by ongoing legal battles and investigations into his past conduct. These controversies could undermine his authority, even as they reinforce his narrative of being a victim of the “deep state.” Additionally, his unorthodox style, while appealing to a core group of supporters, has alienated many within his own party.

    **Modi’s Economic and Social Hurdles** 

    In India, Modi’s comeback may be overshadowed by concerns about economic inequalities, religious tensions, and a slowing job market. His economic policies, though ambitious, have had mixed outcomes, leading some to question the sustainability of his development model.

    4. Defense and Security Collaboration

    Defense cooperation is expected to be a significant focus. The U.S. and India have conducted joint military exercises and signed key defense agreements. Trump’s support for India’s defense capabilities, including potential technology transfers, will be crucial in countering regional threats, particularly from China.

    5. Geopolitical Implications

    Trump’s return could have profound geopolitical implications. His non-interventionist approach and focus on bilateral relations may lead to a recalibration of U.S. foreign policy. Modi, on the other hand, seeks to position India as a counterbalance to China in the Indo-Pacific region. Their combined efforts could reshape the strategic landscape of the region.

    Geopolitical Dynamics: The geopolitical landscape has shifted considerably since Trump’s first term. With growing tensions involving China and Russia, India stands to benefit from a strong US partnership. Trump’s administration is expected to maintain a firm stance against China, which aligns with India’s strategic interests. This partnership could provide India with enhanced support in areas such as defense and intelligence-sharing, crucial for asserting its territorial claims. Moreover, Trump’s approach towards Pakistan regarding Kashmir may lead to increased international pressure on Islamabad, further solidifying India’s position on this contentious issue. As one expert noted, “Trump’s support for India could translate into even greater international pressure on Pakistan”

    6. Human Rights and Democratic Values

    One area of potential friction is human rights. Modi’s government has faced criticism for its handling of minority rights and democratic backsliding. While the Biden administration raised these issues, Trump is less likely to do so, focusing instead on strategic and economic interests. This could lead to a more pragmatic, albeit controversial, partnership.

    7. Technology and Innovation

    Both leaders have emphasized the importance of technology and innovation. The U.S. and India are likely to collaborate on various technological fronts, including cybersecurity, space exploration, and digital infrastructure. This collaboration could drive significant advancements and economic growth in both countries.

    8. Immigration and Skilled Workforce

    Immigration policies could be another area of contention. Trump’s stringent immigration policies, particularly regarding H1-B visas, have impacted Indian professionals. Modi’s government will need to advocate for more favorable immigration policies to support the Indian diaspora in the U.S.

    9. Climate Change and Environmental Policies

    Climate change is a critical global issue, but it may not be a priority for Trump. Modi, however, has committed to various environmental initiatives. Balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability will be a challenge for both leaders,

    10. Future Prospects and Challenges

    The future of Trump-Modi relations will depend on their ability to navigate these complex issues. Their shared vision and strategic alignment offer significant opportunities, but potential challenges could strain their partnership. As they embark on this new era, the world will be watching closely to see if their comeback marks a new chapter or the end of an era.

    ### 6. **A New Era or the End of a Chapter?**

    The question remains: does the return of Trump and Modi signal a new era of populist consolidation, or is it the beginning of the end for their style of governance?

    **A New Era of Populism?** 

    Their resurgence can be seen as proof that nationalist and populist movements are not merely political trends but enduring forces that respond to real and perceived grievances of the masses. In an era of increasing polarization, their leadership styles—characterized by direct communication, strong personalities, and the promise to break with traditional politics—appeal to those disillusioned with the establishment.

    **End of a Chapter?** 

    Conversely, others argue that their comebacks might highlight the limitations of populism. Critics suggest that their style of governance, heavy on symbolism and rhetoric, often lacks the institutional support needed for sustainable long-term changes. Economic challenges, social polarization, and diplomatic complexities could expose the limits of their approaches.

    **Conclusion** 

    The return of Donald Trump and Narendra Modi reflects a significant moment in global politics, indicating both the persistence of populist narratives and the challenges that come with them. Whether this marks a new era of political dominance or the final act of a unique political chapter will depend largely on their ability to adapt, deliver, and respond to the evolving expectations of their electorates and the global community. As they navigate these uncertainties, the world watches closely, assessing whether their brand of leadership will redefine the future or be relegated to the past.

    The return of Trump and the continued leadership of Modi herald a new era in U.S.-India relations. Their personal rapport, strategic alignment, and shared vision for economic nationalism present significant opportunities for collaboration. However, challenges in trade, human rights, and immigration policies could test their partnership. As they navigate these complexities, their ability to adapt and cooperate will determine whether this marks a new beginning or the end of a chapter in their political journey.

    As Trump embarks on his second term, it is evident that both he and Modi share a vision for strengthening bilateral ties based on mutual interests. Their relationship has weathered various global challenges, indicating resilience that could define this new era. However, whether this partnership will lead to substantial advancements or merely reflect past dynamics remains uncertain. The world will be watching closely as they navigate trade agreements, defense collaborations, and regional stability initiatives.

    While there are promising signs of a strengthened alliance between Trump and Modi that could herald a new era in India-US relations, significant challenges require careful diplomacy and strategic foresight. The upcoming months will be critical in determining whether this relationship can evolve beyond previous frameworks or if it will simply reiterate established patterns from their first term together.

  • French President Emmanuel Macron has shot himself in the foot to hug leftists and Islamists

    French President Emmanuel Macron has shot himself in the foot to hug leftists and Islamists

    Macron’s gamble – to expand his coalition or allow the far-right to govern and undermine Marine Le Pen’s chances of winning in 2027 – has failed miserably.

    Now France enters coalition-building phase as revived left and Islamist dominate hung parliament.

    Jean-Luc Mélenchon, leader of France Unbowed (LFI) and a former presidential candidate, leads the largest group in the NFP, and is also the least preferred candidate among his coalition partners. It is unclear what kind of coalition Macron will be able to put together. The New Popular Front (NFP) is a broad and fragile electoral alliance of four parties, with no agreed leader and no shared programme. It will struggle to work with Macron.

    French voters, through a historic mobilisation, may have successfully pushed back the threat of the far-right and reduced its momentum for 2027.

    The National Rally (RN) has never been so close to the gates of power. After the first round of the election a week ago, Marine Le Pen’s 28-year-old protege Jordan Bardella was being talked up as Emmanuel Macron’s future prime minister. To everyone’s surprise, everything was reversed between the two rounds.

    The National Assembly is unreformable, divided into three almost equal blocs that are more hostile to each other than ever, and none of which are in a position to impose themselves.

    Emmanuel Macron will undoubtedly argue that he won his electoral gamble. But he hasn’t won – he has lost his political power. The centre of gravity has shifted from the Elysee palace to the National Assembly, which is now in gridlock and can no longer be re-elected for a year.

    There are no winners. The RN may have doubled its seats; it did not win the majority that was within its grasp. The president’s centrist coalition may not have disappeared, but it has lost its relative majority. The New Popular Front, made up of a motley coalition of left-wing parties, certainly came out on top, but it has no leader, no majority and no common purpose.

    The new National Assembly will have three large blocs – none of which comes near the 289 seats needed for an overall majority. While the success of the four-party left coalition, which has become the largest parliamentary group with 182 seats, may worry markets, it has no chance of forming a government and may be increasingly divided between its most radical component, Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s France Unbowed (LFI), and the more moderate Socialists, Greens and Communists.

    It will take many days and perhaps many weeks for a new government to be formed in France. Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) did not win the election, but it has increased its seats in the National Assembly by 60% since 2022. The far right has not gone away.

    Ironically, Macron is responsible for creating this situation. He broke away from the Socialist Party in 2016 to launch a new centrist movement (now called Renaissance). This transformed the traditional bipolarised party system, destroying the centre-right Les Républicains and creating more space on the extreme right for Marine Le Pen’s party to grow – which it has done clearly in this election, with its number of MPs increasing from 89 to 143. Le Pen’s aspirations for a third shot at the presidency in 2027 remain on track.

  • ‘Balakbuddhi’s intellect is high: Khatakhat’ cash transfer.. Vs Hathras tragedy-Compensation is very inadequate

    ‘Balakbuddhi’s intellect is high: Khatakhat’ cash transfer.. Vs Hathras tragedy-Compensation is very inadequate

    Congress leader Rahul Gandhi has penned a letter to Uttar Pradesh chief minister @myogiadityanath urging for increased compensation and immediate assistance for the families of victims in the aftermath of the #Hathrasstampede which claimed the lives of over 120 people.
    @PMOIndia @narendramodi and the Uttar Pradesh government had announced a combined compensation of Rs 4 lakhs for the bereaved families on Friday, with each contributing Rs 2 lakhs.

    Vs

    A Delhi-based lawyer wrote to President Droupadi Murmu seeking disqualification of 99 newly elected Congress MPs for committing an offence under Section 123(1) of the Representation of People Act (RPA), 1951, saying the party’s #khatakhat cash transfer promise amounted to gross corrupt practices as it was aimed at bribing voters.

    “For the last few days the entire media was flooded with #videos of thousands of females who stated that the members of Indian National Congress Party gave this signed Guarantee Card to them and told them that Sh. Rahul Gandhi and Congress Party would deposit Rs. 8500 per month immediately after 4th June,” the representation read.

    Congress Pary of #balakbuddhi Rahul Gandhi is power in #Himachal #Karnatak #Telangana…

  • ‘Balak Buddhi’ Rahul Gandhi met fake loco pilots ?

    ‘Balak Buddhi’ Rahul Gandhi met fake loco pilots ?

    Congress leader ‘Balak Buddhi’ Rahul Gandhi met 50 loco pilots at New Delhi Railway Station on July 05, 2024. After which a Northern Railway official has now claimed that he had met fake pilots.

    Befor this yesterday Rahul Gandhi defamed martyred Agniveers

    Not only this, Balak Buddhi Rahul Gandhi  has claimed that Rahul Gandhi came with 8 camera persons. Deepak has also shared a video on social media. In which it was claimed that Rahul Gandhi had brought some cameramen for his reel. It looked as if a film shooting was going on. After this claim of the railway officer, BJP has started attacking Rahul Gandhi.

    BJP IT cell chief Amit Malviya shared the video on Twitter and said that it seems that Rahul Gandhi, who failed for the third time, went to meet the loco pilots in the afternoon. He was accompanied by eight cameramen and a director. You can count them yourself. The interesting thing is that he did not meet the real loco pilots. He quipped that there is every possibility that they were professional actors, who were called by his team.

    https://twitter.com/amitmalviya/status/1809298631955988797?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1809298631955988797%7Ctwgr%5Eaf1f203ff65ad578cc6da0f1db2fd3b5cdb5889f%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.performindia.com%2Frahul-gandhi-loco-pilots-reel-meet-at-new-delhi-railway-station%2F

    Rahul Gandhi after the meeting

    Let us tell you that Rahul Gandhi had also shared a post after meeting the loco pilots. In which he told that he had met 50 loco pilots from all over the country. He said that these loco pilots have the responsibility of thousands of passengers every day. But still they are forced to work without complete rest and respect. Attacking the government, he said that the backbone of transport in the country has become a victim of the government’s injustice. He talked to everyone and assured to en

  • Rahul Gandhi became Hitlerian Goebbels by defaming the army and martyred Agniveers

    Rahul Gandhi became Hitlerian Goebbels by defaming the army and martyred Agniveers

    Congress leader and leader of opposition in Lok Sabha Rahul Gandhi is continuously spreading lies on Agniveer to defame the Indian Army and the Modi government. While discussing the motion of thanks on the President’s address, he raised the Agniveer issue and poisoned the society. On July 1, Rahul Gandhi lied on Agniveer in Parliament. At that time, Defense Minister Rajnath Singh had interrupted him and exposed Rahul Gandhi’s lie in the Parliament itself, but Rahul Gandhi, who was determined to set the country on fire, again made a video on Agniveer on July 3 to mislead the youth of the country. After this, the Army came forward and exposed Rahul’s lie. The Army said that Rs 98.39 lakh has been given to the family. The Army said in its clarification that the total amount would be around Rs 1.65 crore. At the same time, the family of the martyred Agniveer also said that it has received compensation. Even after this, Rahul Gandhi’s continuous lying on this issue should come under the category of treason. Here the question also arises that does he want to create rebellion among the Agniveers of the country? It appears that Rahul Gandhi wants to defame the Modi government by throwing the country into chaos so as to deter foreign investors from coming to India.

    Does Congress defame the army because of its secret agreement with China?

    Rahul Gandhi again spreads lies on Agniveer
    After speaking in Parliament on July 1, Rahul Gandhi again spread lies on Agniveer by posting a video on Twitter on July 3. He tweeted – “Protection of truth is the basis of every religion! But Defense Minister Rajnath Singh lied in Parliament about the assistance given to the family of martyr Agniveer. Martyr Agniveer Ajay Singh’s father himself has told the truth about his lie. Defense Minister should apologize to Parliament, the country, the army and the family of martyr Agniveer Ajay Singh ji.” From the video posted with the tweet, it seems that Congress has relaunched Rahul Gandhi again.

    Army exposes Rahul Gandhi’s lie
    Army has now exposed Rahul Gandhi’s lie on Agniveer. The Army wrote in a post on Twitter that “Some social media posts have claimed that the family of Agniveer Ajay Kumar, who lost his life in the line of duty, has not been compensated. Such claims are completely baseless. The Indian Army salutes the supreme sacrifice of Agniveer Ajay Kumar. He was cremated with full military honours. Out of the total amount payable, Rs 98.39 lakh has already been paid to the family of Agniveer Ajay.”

    Proof of the amount given to Agniveer Ajay
    Documentary evidence of fund transfer to Agniveer Ajay Kumar. Insurance company paid Rs 48 lakh on 10 June 24. Similarly, Rs 50 lakh of DSP insurance i.e. non-contributory insurance was given on 13 February 24. This is proof that the army is speaking the truth. Rahul Gandhi wants to make political gains by lying to bury the Congress party’s frustration of being out of power for 10 years. But now his lies have been exposed.

    Defense Minister exposed Rahul’s lies in Parliament
    Defense Minister Rajnath Singh strongly objected to Rahul Gandhi’s statement on Agniveer Yojana in the Lok Sabha. Defense Minister Rajnath Singh accused Rahul Gandhi of misleading the Lok Sabha by giving wrong statements. Defense Minister Rajnath Singh said, “Rahul Gandhi should not try to mislead the House by giving wrong statements. He further said, “If any of our Agniveer soldiers is martyred during the war or while protecting the country, then an amount of Rs 1 crore is given to his family by the Central Government as assistance.” Rahul Gandhi should not make wrong statements on Agniveers, he is working to mislead the House.

    Rahul had also spread a lie on the first martyr Agniveer.
    In October 2023, Rahul Gandhi had spread a lie about the first martyr Agniveer Laxman Gavte and misled the youth of the country and incited them against the army. Agniveer jawan Akshay Laxman Gavte posted in Siachen died during duty. Laxman Gavte was the first Agniveer who died during duty. At the same time, an RTI revealed that the government has provided financial assistance of more than one crore rupees to the family of Akshay Laxman Gavte. Laxman was part of the Fire and Fury Corps (14 Corps) of the Indian Army, which is posted in Ladakh. While implementing the Agneepath scheme, the government had said that if any Agniveer dies during duty, he will get the insurance amount.

    Rahul Gandhi had said – ‘Two types of soldiers’ in the country
    During the Lok Sabha elections 2024, Congress leader Rahul Gandhi had said that PM Modi has created ‘two types of soldiers’ in the country. He said, “…one is the son of a poor, Dalit, minority and the other is from a rich family. He has given a new name to the son of the poor – Agniveer, who will not get any facilities like pension, canteen … But, if you are a senior officer or any one of these four, then you will get all these things. In the army, he has created ‘two-India’, two types of ‘martyrs’.”

    Rahul Gandhi had said – ‘Two types of soldiers’ in the country
    During the Lok Sabha elections 2024, Congress leader Rahul Gandhi had said that PM Modi has created ‘two types of soldiers’ in the country. He said, “…one is the son of a poor, Dalit, minority and the other is from a rich family. He has given a new name to the son of the poor – Agniveer, who will not get any facilities like pension, canteen … But, if you are a senior officer or any one of these four, then you will get all these things. In the army, he has created ‘two-India’, two types of ‘martyrs’.”

    For whose benefit so many lies were spread about the army?
    Prime Minister Narendra Modi, accusing the Congress of spreading blatant lies about army recruitment, on July 2 asked in the Parliament that for whose benefit so many lies are being spread about the army. Responding to the discussion on the motion of thanks in Lok Sabha on the President’s address, PM Modi said that blatant lies are being spread by the Congress about army recruitment so that youth do not join the army. He said that lies are being spread to stop youth from joining the army. I want to know for whose benefit the Congress wants to weaken our armies. For whose benefit is it spreading so many lies about the army

    Cannot see Indian army becoming strong
    The Prime Minister said that the Congress people can never see the Indian army becoming strong. He said who does not know how weak the country’s army was during the times of Pandit Jawahar Lal Nehru. Congress carried out scams worth lakhs and crores of rupees in our army which weakened the country’s army. Ever since the country became independent, Congress has started a tradition of corruption in the Navy, Army and Air Force. Citing the Jeep scam, submarine scam and Bofors scams, he said that these scams prevented the country’s strength from increasing.

    Agniveer Yojana hits Congress’s sore spot
    Modi government has touched Congress’s sore spot with Agniveer Yojana. This is going to ruin their entire future planning. If anyone is going to suffer the most from Agniveer, it is China, if there is a war or clash between India and China. Rahul Gandhi does not have a problem with Agniveer’s salary, compensation and career. The first reason for Rahul’s worry is China because Congress has made a secret agreement with China. The second reason is appeasement. Congress has been winning elections only by appeasement. Peace loving communities believe in Jihad and Congress gives them a free hand in the states ruled by it. But now they are worried about what will happen when there will be 1000 and 2000 Agniveers in every city. They know their future planning, so they have also understood that this is an arrangement for their treatment.  

  • Why does an aging Biden-Trump run America? Why do so many aging old leaders run America?

    Why does an aging Biden-Trump run America? Why do so many aging old leaders run America?

    Why does an aging Biden-Trump run America? Why do so many aging old leaders run America?

    Given the age of both the presidential candidates in America, there is talk of retirement from politics in India. Bharatiya Janata Party has made 75 years the retirement age for its leaders.

    There has always been a debate around the world about what should be the age of a country’s leader. Till what age can he work with more energy and mental capacity and take decisions. A data from Bloomberg says that in the year 2019, the average age of a world leader is 65 years and in Europe it is around 59 years.

    Surprisingly, the average age of world leaders has increased across the world in the last few decades. According to Bloomberg data, the average age of world leaders in the 1950s was 59 years. If we look at the age of the current leaders of the world, 89 year old Raul Castro is the head of state of Cuba. However, now a new wind of young heads of state has started blowing in Europe. In most of the countries, the new heads of state are between 30 and 50 years of age.

    Now Americans have two candidates who are divided by ideology, but united. Both white men were born in the 1940s, before the invention of Velcro and the independence of India and Israel and China. Amazingly, each is currently older than any of the last three U.S. presidents.

    In such a situation, the question definitely arises whether the people of America now want to see an older and experienced person as the head of the nation. Biden is 81 years old. There is controversy over whether he is absolutely fit on the fitness front or not.

    Trump is currently three years younger than Biden. When mppower before President Biden, he was 70 years old, but fitness never came in the way of Trump’s work.

    Biden, 81, jokingly said in April 2024, “Of course, the 2024 election is in full swing and yes, age is an issue: I’m a grown man running against a 6-year-old.” President Trump, whom he called “Sleepy Don.”

    America has seen presidents of different ages in the last three decades. If three decades ago, George W. Bush Sr. had become President after turning 64 and there were reports expressing concern over his fitness. So after him, Bill Clinton, who defeated him in the elections in 1992, was only 46 years old. He had tremendous energy and great charm in his personality.

    81 Biden and 77-78 Trump are the two most likely to become the next president. Each will be the oldest president to deliver an inaugural address in American history. But both feel young to run America!!

    Right now I’m young (I’m young, I’m young)

    I am still young

    I am still young

    Right now I…

    I am still young

    Yes, the sun of beauty (It is sunny, it is sunny)

    Hmm, I have a sweet look

    Yes, the sunshine of beauty

    I have a sweet look

    I am the swift current of the river

    I am desperate for a sweet one

    I am from Laila’s heart.

    I am the tongue of Heer

    Right now I…

    Right now I’m young (I’m young, I’m young)

    I am still young

    I am still young

    Right now I…

    I am still young

    I’m jam full (full, full)

    I’m thirsty for lips

    yes, i’m jam packed

    I’m thirsty for lips

    squint and look

    i’m around the heart

    I am the desire of lovers

    I am a statement of love

    Right now I…

    I am still young

    I am still young

    I am still young

    Right now I…

    I am still young

    Right now I’m young (I’m young, I’m young)

    I am still young

    I am still young

    Prominent figures in American politics are making headlines because of their age. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced her plans to step down as leader of House Democrats. At the age of 82, Pelosi said the time has come for a new generation of leadership. However, she will retain her seat and Congress and has no plans to retire.

    Donald Trump made it official, announcing that he is running again to become President of the United States. Trump is 77 years old. If voters give him another chance to go to the White House, he will be 78 years old.

    Now what about the man in the White House? Joe Biden too old for the president position again in second term

    One possibility is that this is just randomness. You might think this is just an election that Trump and Biden have upset, and young people are waiting. But old age runs deep in modern presidential electoral politics. Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton, the losers of the last two presidential elections, were born a month apart in 1947.

    The mystery of America’s oldest presidential candidates is actually two separate questions – one of demand, and one of supply. Derek Thompson has analysed this in one of his articles.

    The most obvious reason why America’s presidential candidates are so old may be that Americans are getting older. Voters over the age of 65 regularly go to the polls more often than younger voters, and political-science research has found that voters generally prefer candidates “closest to them in age”.

    Perhaps it is about youth being disengaged from politics for decades. According to The Economist, older Americans outnumber younger Americans by a wider margin than in the typical OECD country. This is especially true at the local level. As Timothy Noah writes in Politico, studies have shown that the average age of a voter in America’s municipal elections is 57 – “almost a generation older than the average age of eligible voters.”

    Since 1996, each new President has had less national political experience than the previous Commander-in-Chief when he or she was elected. Bill Clinton was a newer face than George HW Bush, but he had more gubernatorial experience than George W. Bush, who in turn had been governor longer than Barack Obama had been a senator. Then came Trump, who had no political experience.

    The perfect “familiar surprise” in politics might be a character like Trump: a celebrity who also represents a shock to the political system. If the future of American politics belongs to seasoned amateurs, the scale might be subtly tilted toward consoling those paternalistic figures who are not steeped in the poison of contemporary politics, either because they are out of the game (Biden Like) or because they’ve consistently rejected its rules (like Sanders).

    American leadership has become very old, it has completely fallen down.

    The American government is a creaking machine whose most critical parts can generously be described as “outdated.” The average age in Congress is near an all-time high. The Speaker of the House, the House Majority Leader, the House Majority Whip, and the Senate Majority Leader are all over 75.

    This phenomenon is bigger than politics. In business, science, and finance, power is concentrated among the elderly. Over the past 40 years, the average age of Nobel Prize winners has increased in almost every discipline, including physics, chemistry, medicine and literature. Among S&P 500 companies, the average age of incoming CEOs has increased by 14 years over the past 14 years. Americans age 55 and older make up less than one-third of the population, but own two-thirds of the nation’s wealth – the highest level of wealth concentration on record.

    Why does an aging Biden-Trump run America? Why do so many old people run America?

    For those who voted: According to Wikipedia, voter turnout in the 2020 presidential election was highest among those aged 65 to 74 at 76.0%, while turnout was lowest among those aged 18 to 24 at 51.4%.

    Older pleaders have the money, political skills, and networks to run, and older people (who are voting for older people) are voting in greater numbers, making the oldest people the holders of the most power.

    The peak number of leaders turning 65 in the US will be in 2023, so older people aren’t going anywhere anytime soon.

    As per the U.S. Census Bureau, by 2040, the population of American adults age 65 and older will nearly double.

    Important point to note is that if young people don’t start voting, the younger generation will not be able to take control of America’s leadership until all the baby boomers die off.

    By 2055, it is estimated that there will still be 30 million people in the United States who were born before 1965 – the majority of whom will be boomers.

    The younger generation means youth needs to increase their democratic participation and run for office or at least vote. The future of the United States is in their hands.

    The concentration of power in the hands of aged people, who are also richer, will predictably lead to policies that benefit the aged and richer at the expense of the less privileged. The federal government already guarantees seniors universal health insurance and universal basic income, even as Republicans beat drum of socialism when young people request versions of the same policies. It is unlikely that young people will achieve many policy victories in a government whose average age is over 70.

    Further, the old regime may be misgovernance. At the end of the Cold War, a common criticism of the USSR was that the country was collapsing partly because the Soviet Politburo was too old and unable to keep pace with the changing world. Research indicates that cognitive decline typically accelerates in the 70s. Without encouraging voters or employers to be ageist, it seems risky to leave the most important issues of life, death, and well-being in the hands of a group of seventy-year-olds who are biologically on the verge of predictable cognitive decline. Are.

    **

    Young people are lagging behind the elderly in America 24 percent not self-reliant, 35 percent dependent on parents

    In America, 2 out of every 5 youth i.e. 40 percent are struggling for economic resources. There are 50 percent youth who are not able to stop unnecessary expenses. At the same time, the number of such elders is only 11 percent, who are struggling the least compared to other generations. A recent One Poll survey has shattered the notion that American youth spend their own money and take up their financial responsibilities quickly.

    According to the survey, parents are bearing the entire expenses of 58 percent of American youth. Overall, this survey makes it clear that the situation of American youth is not good in terms of financial responsibility. Youth in America are lagging behind even the elders! 24 percent not self-reliant, 35 percent dependent on parents

    In America, 2 out of every 5 youth i.e. 40 percent are struggling for financial resources. There are 50 percent youth who are not able to stop unnecessary expenses. At the same time, the number of such elders is only 11 percent, who are struggling the least compared to other generations. A recent One Poll survey has broken the notion that American youth bear their own expenses and take care of their financial responsibilities quickly.

    According to the survey, parents are bearing the entire expenses of 58 percent of American youth. Overall, this survey makes it clear that the situation of American youth is not good from the point of view of financial responsibility.

    Writer of this book received few comments:

    **

    Why do old people run the United States? We don’t take them seriously because of their age, so why are they in power? Why are American politicians so old? Why don’t they retire? He is addicted to the power, bribery and corruption that comes with being a respected official. Note that many people are very rich, far beyond their income level.

    **

    Why are so many senior American politicians so old? Some die and no one resigns. Most politicians have worked in politics their entire adult lives. Usually they have been elected to the post several times. They have seniority and lots of facilities. Why would they leave? As a result they grow old in the office. No one is willing to step aside for young people. Or anyone else for that matter: Leonard Roberts

    Why are so many American politicians so old and why are they allowed to remain in office past the age of 65? Because the United States Constitution does not have a maximum age limit for elected officials. The Constitution is the structure of our government. It prescribes a lower age limit but no upper age limit. Therefore, there is no upper age limit for politicians. Franklin Vaux

    Terry Schur explains why Congress has become so old, and isn’t it time for it to take over government leadership?

    John F. Kennedy said, is not even close to happening. The Constitution should be amended to include a maximum age in addition to the minimum.

    According to the Constitution, the US President must be at least 35 years of age, be a resident of the US for at least 14 years, be born in the US, or have at least one parent be a US citizen.

    At the age of 43, John F. Kennedy was the youngest elected President. Bill Clinton was 46, Barack Obama was 47.

    In 2024, Joe Biden is the oldest presidential candidate in US history at the age of 81. Donald Trump is 77, Ronald Reagan was 69, George HW Bush was 64.

    America’s two oldest senators are both 87 years old. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) has held her California seat for 30 years since 1992, and Chuck Grassley (D-IA) has held his seat for 41 years since 1981.

    6 senators are at least 80 years old, and 23 senators are over 70 years old.

    **

    CNBC poll shows most Americans don’t want Biden or Trump back in power in 2024

    The poll found that 61% of the public believes Trump should not seek the presidency, while 30% believe he should seek the presidency. And 70% say Biden should not run for a second term, with only 19% supporting the run.

    Biden and Trump are both old. So why are voters only paying attention to one of them?

    NBC News interviewed dozens of voters about whether they are concerned about Biden’s aging — and whether it’s as big an issue for Trump.

    Trump is actually just three years younger than Biden.

    “Trump comes across as a very young person who is undecided about 2024,” said Renee King, a two-time Trump voter in Mondamin, Iowa.

    “…I feel like Trump has moved with the times and Biden hasn’t,” said Jane Story, 56, a Trump supporter in Ames, Iowa.

    Don Brockett of Hampton, New Hampshire, said Trump feels like he is “blessed with the ability, like Mick Jagger, to stay young forever.”

    Biden’s doctor declared him healthy and “fit for duty” in February 2023, despite opinion polls showing that a majority of Americans are concerned about Biden’s age.

    US Presidents usually say the wrong things at the wrong time, after which their administrations have to issue clarifications.

    On November 13, Biden referred to US Vice President Kamala Harris as “President Harris”.

    “President Harris is here to make sure we do this right,” Biden said during a sporting event. Biden’s comments have at times put his administration in a difficult position.

    “There is no doubt in my mind, I will vote for Biden. But we need age limits in politicians, and I would like to see much younger candidates,” said Tammy, a Democratic voter in Geauga County, Ohio, who declined to give her last name.

    Mary Miller, 60, of Novelty, Ohio, has voted Republican most of her life but supported Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020. She is pleased with Biden’s performance but says she is concerned about his age.https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-trump-old-voters-age-issue-rcna104316

    **

    The presence of elderly candidates like Joe Biden and Donald Trump running for President of the United States often raises questions and concerns among voters. Here is a point-by-point explanation of why such elderly individuals run for office and why they are still considered viable candidates:

    Experience in leadership roles: Both Biden and Trump have held leadership positions before running for president. Biden’s experience as vice president and Trump’s experience as a business executive gave him the leadership skills and insight that he argues qualify him for the presidency despite his age.

    Accumulated Experience: Older individuals have typically accumulated decades of experience in various fields, including politics, business, and public service. This depth of experience can be invaluable when making complex decisions.

    The primary reason older individuals run for office is their extensive experience in politics and governance. Both Biden and Trump have decades of experience in public life. Biden served several terms as a senator before becoming vice president under Barack Obama, while Trump, though not a career politician, had been involved in various business ventures and public events prior to his presidency.

    Established Networks: Over the years, older individuals have had more time to build extensive networks of contacts and allies, which can be crucial for success in politics and leadership roles.

    Older candidates often have well-established networks within their respective political parties and donors. These networks can provide vital assistance in terms of fundraising, campaign infrastructure and support, making it easier for them to run a successful campaign.

    Recognition and name recognition: Both Biden and Trump are widely recognized figures in American politics. Their names are familiar to most voters, which may give them an advantage in terms of gaining attention and support, especially during primary elections where name recognition plays an important role.

    Historical Context: Older individuals may have a better understanding of historical events and how they have shaped the current socio-political landscape. This historical perspective can inform decision-making and strategy.

    Perceived Wisdom: In many cultures, there is a stereotype that equates age with wisdom. As a result, older individuals may be perceived as more capable and trustworthy leaders by the general public.

    Stability and Consistency: Older leaders may be seen as more stable and consistent in their decision-making compared to younger counterparts who might be perceived as more impulsive or prone to change.

    Life Expectancy and Health: While age is often a concern for older candidates, advances in health care and increased life expectancy mean that individuals can live active and productive lives even in their 70s and 80s. Both Biden and Trump were required to undergo rigorous medical evaluations during their campaigns to assure voters of their suitability for office.

    Representation and Democracy: In a democracy, any person who meets the constitutional requirements for the office can run for president. Age is not explicitly a disqualifier, and voters ultimately have the power to decide whether a candidate’s age is of concern to them. Older candidates argue that their age brings wisdom and experience, which they believe are important qualities for effective leadership.

    Financial Security: Older individuals who have had successful careers often have greater financial resources, which can provide them with the means to pursue and maintain positions of power.

    Legacy Building: Many older individuals are concerned with their legacy and how they will be remembered. This can motivate them to seek out leadership positions and leave a lasting impact on society.

    Cultural Norms: American culture tends to value experience and seniority, which can contribute to older individuals holding prominent positions in various sectors, including politics.

    Electoral Preferences: Older individuals may be more likely to vote and participate in the political process, giving them greater influence in elections and candidate selection.

    Institutional Knowledge: Older individuals who have been involved in politics for many years often possess invaluable institutional knowledge about how government operates, which can be essential for effective governance.

    Leadership Development: Many older leaders have had opportunities for leadership development throughout their careers, which have prepared them for higher positions of responsibility.

    Role Models: Older leaders can serve as role models for younger generations, inspiring them to pursue careers in public service and leadership.

    Political Patronage: In some cases, older individuals may benefit from political patronage networks that support their ascent to power and help them maintain their positions.

    Political Ideology: Despite their ages, both Biden and Trump represent different political ideologies within their respective parties. Biden is considered a moderate Democrat, while Trump’s presidency marked a shift within the Republican Party toward a more populist and nationalist agenda. Their ideological stances resonate with certain sections of the electorate, which contributes to their appeal as candidates.

    Cultural Attitudes toward Age: American culture often respects and reveres older individuals, viewing them as repositories of knowledge and experience worthy of leadership positions.

    Risk Aversion: Older leaders may be more risk-averse, preferring stability and incremental change over radical reforms or upheavals.

    Power Structures: Existing power structures within organizations and institutions may favor older individuals, making it easier for them to rise to the top.

    Access to Resources: Older individuals who have been in leadership positions for a long time may have accumulated significant resources and influence, further cementing their power.

    Political Traditions: In many cases, political traditions and norms favor older individuals, with age often seen as synonymous with authority and legitimacy.

    Respect for Elders: Many cultures, including American culture, place a high value on respecting elders, which can contribute to older individuals holding positions of influence and power.

    Continuity and Stability: Older leaders may be seen as providing continuity and stability in times of uncertainty or crisis, which can be reassuring to the public and other stakeholders.

    These points provide a broad overview of some of the reasons why older individuals often hold significant positions of power in America. Depending on the focus of your essay, you may choose to explore some of these points in more detail or add additional factors to further support your argument.

    In short, the candidacy of Biden and Trump is based on their experience, name recognition, political ideology, and perception of their fitness for office, regardless of age. Although concerns about age and health are legitimate considerations for voters, they are not necessarily prohibitive factors in a candidate’s ability to run for and hold the highest office in the United States. Ultimately, voters weigh a candidate’s age along with other factors such as policies, character, and leadership abilities when making their decision at the ballot box.

    Mark Mather and Paola Scommegna explains: The aging of the American population brings both challenges and opportunities for the economy, infrastructure, and institutions.

    Positive development

    The level of education is increasing. In 1965 only 5% of people age 65 and older had completed four years or more of college. This share will increase to 33% by 2023.6

    Older adults are working longer hours.

    The poverty rate for Americans age 65 and older has fallen rapidly over the past 50 years, from nearly 30% in 1966 to 10% today.

    Older adults can meet their daily care needs. Older adults are better able to function on their own, and a higher share are living in nursing homes and assisted living than a decade ago.

    Challenges

    Gains in life expectancy have stalled recently. US life expectancy at birth has declined by 2.4 years between 2019 and 2021. Besides COVID-19 pandemic, deaths from drug overdoses, heart disease, chronic liver disease and cirrhosis, and suicide also played a role. The prevalence of obesity among older Americans has increased at an alarming rate.

    Wide economic inequalities are found among different population subgroups.

    More older adults are getting divorced than previous generations.

    Older women are living alone.

    Older Americans face a care gap, especially those with low incomes and dementia.

    Due to the larger share of older adults, Social Security and Medicare expenditures will increase from 9.1% of GDP in 2023 to 11.5% by 2035.19

    The Age Factor in Politics

    1. The Perception of Age

    Public perception plays a significant role in evaluating political leaders. In the case of Biden and Trump, their advanced ages have raised concerns among some Americans. According to a survey, 67% of respondents believe that President Joe Biden, at 81 years old, is too old to serve another term. In contrast, only 41% feel the same way about former President Donald Trump, who is 771. This discrepancy highlights the subjective nature of age-related judgments.

    2. The Super-Ager Phenomenon

    Both Biden and Trump fall into a category known as “super-agers.” These individuals maintain robust mental and physical functioning, often outperforming their peers in terms of longevity. Despite their age, super-agers exhibit resilience and adaptability. Research indicates that both candidates have a higher probability of surviving a four-year term relative to other men their age2.

    3. Life Expectancy and Survival Odds

    To assess their prospects, we turn to life expectancy data. Demographers use life tables, which provide probabilities of survival based on age-specific death rates. These tables reveal that almost 99% of all people born in the U.S. survive from age 0 to 20, over 95% survive to age 40, and more than 85% reach age 60. Biden and Trump, both non-Hispanic white men, have distinct probabilities of surviving to specific ages. Based on 2021 data, Biden has a 92.9% chance of surviving at least until age 821.

    4. The Role of Cognitive Abilities

    While concerns about cognitive abilities arise, the life expectancy argument remains compelling. The four-year age difference between Biden and Trump doesn’t significantly impact their odds of completing a presidential term. Both men are likely to survive, given their super-ager status and the statistical probabilities1.

    5. Unique Aging Leadership

    America’s aging politicians raise questions about leadership continuity. Unlike countries with term limits, the U.S. lacks such constraints. Some leaders cling to power due to personal reasons, perpetuating an aging leadership phenomenon. However, this uniqueness also allows for experience and historical context to shape decision-making3.

    In conclusion, while age is a valid consideration, it should not overshadow other critical factors like competence, vision, and policy. Biden and Trump, despite their years, remain formidable contenders, challenging the notion that age alone disqualifies them from running America4. As long as they maintain their super-ager status, their leadership capabilities endure.

    “We have people who are in their 80s and running the country, and that is unique.” — Mr. Munger3

    Remember, leadership transcends mere numbers; it hinges on wisdom, resilience, and adaptability. America’s elder statesmen continue to shape the nation’s destiny, proving that age need not be a barrier to effective governance5.

    Learn more

    In the end the Yaksha question again arises. Why are America’s politicians so old – and does age matter in politics? (The proverb Yaksha Prashna is used in the context of a problem or problem for which no solution has been found yet or the problem remains as it is.)

    Fellow veteran Senator Dianne Feinstein, 81, of U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell made headlines for a series of seemingly geriatric incidents, which began when she returned from a long sick leave and insisted she was not far.

    Mr Biden hopes to be re-elected next year at the age of 82, allowing him to remain in the White House until he is 86.

    A December 2023 AP-NORC poll showed that 77 percent of respondents believe Mr. Biden is too old to effectively serve another term. For Mr. Trump, the figure is 51 percent.

    As Ms Matthews says: “He has the feelings of an old man.”

    “The Democrats face likely decimation in this year’s midterm elections in November, which will set up a crushingly depressing 2024 rematch between Biden and Trump.”

  • PM : 2024 – Vishwa Sarkar Ka Vikalp

    PM : 2024 – Vishwa Sarkar Ka Vikalp

    लेखक प्रेमेन्द्र अग्रवाल बाल्यावस्था से ही संघ के स्वयंसेवक रहे हैं । उन्होंने पत्रकारिता, कानून और वाणिज्य में स्नातक की उपाधि प्राप्त की। 1956 में वे दुर्गा लॉ एंड कॉमर्स कॉलेज रायपुर छात्र संघ के महासचिव चुने गए। छात्र जीवन में उनके द्वारा लिखित कुछ लेख धर्म युद्ध, हिंदुस्तान हिंदी साप्ताहिक में और बाद में अंग्रेजी साप्ताहिक ’ऑर्गेनाइजर’ आदि में भी प्रकाशित हुए। उनके द्वारा स्टूडेंट्स हिंदी साप्ताहिक ’बढ़ते चले’ का दिल्ली से तत्पश्चात रायपुर से प्रकाशन किया गया। 1964 से वे हिंदी दैनिक ’लोक शक्ति’ का रायपुर से प्रकाशन व अक्टूबर 2020 ’लोक शक्ति’ मासिक पत्रिका भी प्रकाशित कर रहे हैं ।